13/04/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Dugopolje vs Radnik Sesvete Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
27%
Draw
27%
38%
Away Win
33%
51%
Under 2.5
57%
49%
Over 2.5
43%
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
55%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dugopolje v Radnik Sesvete — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dugopolje
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Radnik Sesvete
EU Bookmakers 37%
-39% /
-39%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-49% /
-49%
1.35/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/2.00
+6%
/
-55%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-47%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
211 · 65%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
246 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Dugopolje vs Radnik Sesvete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Radnik Sesvete got the better of Dugopolje 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Radnik Sesvete made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Dugopolje vs Radnik Sesvete?
Dugopolje 1-3 Radnik Sesvete in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dugopolje vs Radnik Sesvete?
Before kick-off our model rated an Radnik Sesvete win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dugopolje 35%, draw 27%, Radnik Sesvete 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Radnik Sesvete)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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More Croatia - 2.HNL
13 Apr 2024