Kaisar 0-3 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Cup, 13 Apr 2024

Kaisar
0-3 HT 0-1
Tobol
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kazakistan - Cup – 2024

Kaisar vs Tobol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
29%
+8.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-7.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kaisar v Tobol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaisar EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol EU Bookmakers 49%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.85/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.74
+78% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +111%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kaisar vs Tobol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaisar
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tobol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
The Meetings
06.08.2023 Tobol Tobol 0-2 HT 0-1 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
14.05.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 1-0 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
23.06.2021 Kaisar Kaisar 1-3 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
14.04.2021 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
03.11.2020 Tobol Tobol 3-0 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
29.08.2020 Kaisar Kaisar 2-1 HT 1-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
POST-MATCH Kaisar vs Tobol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol ran out comfortable winners over Kaisar 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Tobol found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kaisar and 1.33 for Tobol.

What was the final score of Kaisar vs Tobol?

Kaisar 0-3 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Cup on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaisar vs Tobol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaisar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kaisar 38%, draw 25%, Tobol 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kaisar), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kaisar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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