Grobina 3-0 Metta / LU Riga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
Crosses 15.7
Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
3-0
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
0.73 xG 2.10
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
186 Passes 476
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Grobina vs Metta / LU Riga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grobina swept aside Metta / LU Riga 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Grobina found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Grobina had 33% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 67%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 0.73 to 2.10 — on chances, Metta / LU Riga could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Grobina vs Metta / LU Riga?

Grobina 3-0 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs Metta / LU Riga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grobina 38%, draw 25%, Metta / LU Riga 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grobina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Grobina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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