13/04/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Brodd vs Fram Larvik Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
25%
Draw
24%
37%
Away Win
29%
47%
Under 2.5
40%
53%
Over 2.5
60%
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
48%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brodd v Fram Larvik — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Brodd
EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Fram Larvik
EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% /
-16%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+7% /
+7%
1.23/1.86
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.53/1.53
-41%
/
-7%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-12%
/
+36%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
349 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
281 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.2
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Brodd vs Fram Larvik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Brodd squeezed past Fram Larvik 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Brodd made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Brodd vs Fram Larvik?
Brodd 2-1 Fram Larvik in the Norway - 3rd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brodd vs Fram Larvik?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brodd win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brodd 38%, draw 25%, Fram Larvik 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brodd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Brodd)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
13 Apr 2024