Alianza Atletico 2-0 Union Comercio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

Alianza Atletico
2-0 HT 2-0
Union Comercio
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Peru - Premier League – 2024

Alianza Atletico vs Union Comercio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alianza Atletico v Union Comercio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Comercio EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.42/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.73
+15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 71%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
15.5 Crosses 11.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1

Alianza Atletico vs Union Comercio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Union Comercio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.41 xG 1.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
352 Passes 270
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-2 HT 1-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
02.04.2023 Union Comercio Union Comercio 3-3 HT 3-2 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
10.09.2017 Union Comercio Union Comercio 1-2 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
03.06.2017 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-3 HT 0-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
13.05.2017 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-2 HT 1-2 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
08.03.2017 Union Comercio Union Comercio 5-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER

Alianza Atletico 2-0 Union Comercio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
2-0
AWAY Union Comercio
2.15 xG 0.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
190 Passes 245
68% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Union Comercio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Atletico saw off Union Comercio 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza Atletico as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 45% of the ball to Union Comercio's 55%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 2.15 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Comercio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza Atletico and 2.67 for Union Comercio.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Union Comercio?

Alianza Atletico 2-0 Union Comercio in the Peru - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Union Comercio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 49%, draw 27%, Union Comercio 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Atletico), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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