Kalisz 1-2 Sandecja Nowy Sacz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.98
6+ Goals
11%
18.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandecja Nowy Sacz EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.61/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.87
+1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sandecja Nowy Sacz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
3 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz 0-2 HT 0-2 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
1-2
AWAY Sandecja Nowy Sacz
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandecja Nowy Sacz squeezed past Kalisz 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kalisz at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kalisz had 48% of the ball to Sandecja Nowy Sacz's 52%, shots finished 11-18.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

Kalisz 1-2 Sandecja Nowy Sacz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 44%, draw 24%, Sandecja Nowy Sacz 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kalisz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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