Oleksandria 0-1 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
48%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
13%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+8.2pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.5pp
48%
Away Win
63%
-14.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 67%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
0.99/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/1.04
+2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oleksandria
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.10.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 4-2 HT 2-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
20.05.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-5 HT 1-2 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
10.11.2022 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 3-1 HT 1-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
18.09.2021 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
04.04.2021 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-2 HT 1-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
24.10.2020 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-0 HT 1-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
POST-MATCH Oleksandria vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev nicked a narrow win over Oleksandria 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dynamo Kiev as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Kiev led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Oleksandria and 2.67 for Dynamo Kiev.

What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Dynamo Kiev?

Oleksandria 0-1 Dynamo Kiev in the Ukraine - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oleksandria vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Oleksandria 24%, draw 28%, Dynamo Kiev 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UKR More Ukraine - Premier League
13 Apr 2024
13:00 Obolon Kyiv vs Minai Analysis →
18:00 Rukh Vynnyky vs Kryvbas KR Analysis →