One Knoxville 0-1 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 43%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.09/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.07
-37% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
21.4 Crosses 16.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Union Omaha
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 0.78
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
338 Passes 289
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-1 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
19.07.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
22.06.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-1 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
0-1
AWAY Union Omaha
0.32 xG 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
252 Passes 281
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
9 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha edged past One Knoxville 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Union Omaha found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, One Knoxville had 48% of the ball to Union Omaha's 52%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.32 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Union Omaha led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for One Knoxville and 2.00 for Union Omaha.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Union Omaha?

One Knoxville 0-1 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 31%, draw 30%, Union Omaha 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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