Shenzhen Juniors 2-0 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
24%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.33
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.73
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.33 — our 38% vs market 35.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.4pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-5.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.6pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen Juniors EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 32%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.40/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.26
+22% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
17.2 Crosses 14.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen Juniors
2-0
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
1.38 xG 0.53
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
350 Passes 204
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shenzhen Juniors got the better of Guangxi Baoyun 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shenzhen Juniors as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shenzhen Juniors had 59% of the ball to Guangxi Baoyun's 41%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.38 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Shenzhen Juniors 2-0 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shenzhen Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen Juniors 41%, draw 35%, Guangxi Baoyun 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shenzhen Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shenzhen Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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