FBK Karlstad 2-0 Vanersborgs FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.6pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.1pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -1%
2.66/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.72
+16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FBK Karlstad
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
29.07.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-4 HT 0-2 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad İSÇ4
07.04.2023 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 3-0 HT 2-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FBK Karlstad
2-0
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FBK Karlstad vs Vanersborgs FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FBK Karlstad beat Vanersborgs FK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FBK Karlstad as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FBK Karlstad had 48% of the ball to Vanersborgs FK's 52%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FBK Karlstad had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for FBK Karlstad and 0.50 for Vanersborgs FK.

What was the final score of FBK Karlstad vs Vanersborgs FK?

FBK Karlstad 2-0 Vanersborgs FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FBK Karlstad vs Vanersborgs FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a FBK Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FBK Karlstad 60%, draw 21%, Vanersborgs FK 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FBK Karlstad) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FBK Karlstad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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