Roma (K) 1-2 Juventus (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
20%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
48%
+8.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
20%
Away Win
28%
-8.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.6pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.41/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.11
+6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
14.3 Crosses 21.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma (K)
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Juventus (K)
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.02 xG 1.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
340 Passes 253
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2025 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 4-3 HT 2-2 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
19.01.2025 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) İTKSA
13.10.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 2-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
13.05.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
15.04.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) İTKSA
04.02.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
1-2
AWAY Juventus (K)
1.65 xG 2.10
70% Ball Possession 30%
22 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
513 Passes 182
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
39 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Juventus (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus (K) squeezed past Roma (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Roma (K) at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Roma (K) had 70% of the ball to Juventus (K)'s 30%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.65 to 2.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Roma (K) and 2.00 for Juventus (K).

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Roma (K) 1-2 Juventus (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 56%, draw 24%, Juventus (K) 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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