La Serena 2-1 CD Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Serena EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Everton EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
1.01/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.17
-17% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.7 Crosses 18.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Serena
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CD Everton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.24 xG 1.61
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 Passes 269
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2022 CD Everton CD Everton 4-0 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
01.04.2022 La Serena La Serena 1-3 HT 1-0 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
28.09.2021 La Serena La Serena 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
01.05.2021 CD Everton CD Everton 0-4 HT 0-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
06.01.2021 La Serena La Serena 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
15.03.2020 CD Everton CD Everton 0-0 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Serena
2-1
AWAY CD Everton
1.90 xG 1.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
234 Passes 304
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 23
8 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH La Serena vs CD Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Serena squeezed past CD Everton 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day La Serena made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Serena had 44% of the ball to CD Everton's 56%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.90 to 1.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Everton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for La Serena and 1.67 for CD Everton.

What was the final score of La Serena vs CD Everton?

La Serena 2-1 CD Everton in the Chile - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Serena vs CD Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split La Serena 35%, draw 27%, CD Everton 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Everton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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