Neftçi PFK 2-4 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 13 Apr 2025

Neftçi PFK
2-4 HT 2-1
Zira
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Neftçi PFK vs Zira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.09
No
65%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.5pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.4pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Neftçi PFK v Zira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.15/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.64
+5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +80%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Neftçi PFK vs Zira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftçi PFK
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Zira
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
The Meetings
10.02.2025 Zira Zira 1-2 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
23.11.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 2-1 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
15.09.2024 Zira Zira 2-0 HT 1-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
20.04.2024 Zira Zira 3-1 HT 1-1 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
18.02.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-0 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
03.12.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Neftçi PFK vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira saw off Neftçi PFK 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftçi PFK had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Neftçi PFK and 1.17 for Zira.

What was the final score of Neftçi PFK vs Zira?

Neftçi PFK 2-4 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftçi PFK vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Neftçi PFK 29%, draw 29%, Zira 42%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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13 Apr 2025
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