Persita Tangerang 2-1 Barito Putera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.95
Over
38%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
41%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+14.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-14.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.4pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persita Tangerang EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Barito Putera EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.35/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.18
-3% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
341 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persita Tangerang
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Barito Putera
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
344 Passes 225
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
23.11.2024 Barito Putera Barito Putera 0-2 HT 0-1 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
24.12.2022 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 0-3 HT 0-2 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
24.03.2022 Barito Putera Barito Putera 2-0 HT 0-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
12.12.2021 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 0-1 HT 0-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persita Tangerang
2-1
AWAY Barito Putera
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Persita Tangerang vs Barito Putera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persita Tangerang squeezed past Barito Putera 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Persita Tangerang found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Persita Tangerang had 46% of the ball to Barito Putera's 54%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Barito Putera led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Persita Tangerang and 1.50 for Barito Putera.

What was the final score of Persita Tangerang vs Barito Putera?

Persita Tangerang 2-1 Barito Putera in the Indonesia League 1 on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persita Tangerang vs Barito Putera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persita Tangerang win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Persita Tangerang 38%, draw 31%, Barito Putera 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persita Tangerang) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persita Tangerang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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