Incheon United 2-1 Cheongju FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 13 Apr 2025

Incheon United
2-1 HT 0-1
Cheongju FC
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2025

Incheon United vs Cheongju FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.47
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.99
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.6
6+ Goals
8%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-12.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Incheon United v Cheongju FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheongju FC EU Bookmakers 17%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +16%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.35
+15% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
31.0 Crosses 11.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Incheon United 2-1 Cheongju FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
2-1
AWAY Cheongju FC
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
381 Passes 225
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Cheongju FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United squeezed past Cheongju FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Incheon United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Incheon United had 61% of the ball to Cheongju FC's 39%, shots finished 16-14.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Cheongju FC?

Incheon United 2-1 Cheongju FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Cheongju FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 52%, draw 26%, Cheongju FC 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Incheon United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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