Al Nejmeh 1-1 Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
31%
-5.7pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.9pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Safa EU Bookmakers 45%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
0.67/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-13% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nejmeh
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Safa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12.02.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 0-2 HT 0-1 Safa Safa LUBN
POST-MATCH Al Nejmeh vs Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nejmeh and Safa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Safa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Nejmeh vs Safa?

Al Nejmeh 1-1 Safa in the Lebanon - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nejmeh vs Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Nejmeh 25%, draw 32%, Safa 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Safa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Safa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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