Ikorodu City 3-0 Niger Tornadoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.67
No
58%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
31%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-10.4pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
33%
+8.3pp
58%
BTTS No
67%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 12%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
2.72/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.94
+72% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -21%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
437 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 180 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ikorodu City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Niger Tornadoes
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
23.11.2024 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Ikorodu City Ikorodu City NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ikorodu City
3-0
AWAY Niger Tornadoes
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ikorodu City vs Niger Tornadoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ikorodu City swept aside Niger Tornadoes 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ikorodu City as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Ikorodu City had 70% of the ball to Niger Tornadoes's 30%, shots finished 14-4.

What was the final score of Ikorodu City vs Niger Tornadoes?

Ikorodu City 3-0 Niger Tornadoes in the Nigeria NPFL on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ikorodu City vs Niger Tornadoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ikorodu City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ikorodu City 60%, draw 23%, Niger Tornadoes 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ikorodu City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ikorodu City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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