Hönefoss BK 0-1 Pors Grenland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.23
Over
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Hönefoss BK win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hönefoss BK The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Pors Grenland The Market 19%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
5.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.01
+93% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hönefoss BK
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Pors Grenland
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
03.09.2006 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland 2-3 HT 0-1 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR1
03.07.2005 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 3-1 HT 0-0 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland NOR1
POST-MATCH Hönefoss BK vs Pors Grenland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pors Grenland nicked a narrow win over Hönefoss BK 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hönefoss BK at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hönefoss BK had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Hönefoss BK and 1.50 for Pors Grenland.

What was the final score of Hönefoss BK vs Pors Grenland?

Hönefoss BK 0-1 Pors Grenland in the Norway - NM Cup on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hönefoss BK vs Pors Grenland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hönefoss BK win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hönefoss BK 53%, draw 22%, Pors Grenland 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hönefoss BK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hönefoss BK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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