Notodden 0-3 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.18
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.29
Over Pick
65%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.95
No
40%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
37%
4-5
31%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
26%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
11%
+9.7pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.7pp
63%
Away Win
71%
-8.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
40%
-5.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
60%
+5.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
47%
+12.6pp
40%
BTTS No
53%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notodden EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.16/3.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.79/0.50
+22% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +89%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notodden
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Stabaek
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2022 Notodden Notodden 1-3 HT 0-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOK
31.05.2017 Notodden Notodden 1-1 HT 1-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notodden
0-3
AWAY Stabaek
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Notodden vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek ran out comfortable winners over Notodden 3-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stabaek as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Notodden had 54% of the ball to Stabaek's 46%, shots finished 15-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stabaek led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Notodden and 2.00 for Stabaek.

What was the final score of Notodden vs Stabaek?

Notodden 0-3 Stabaek in the Norway - NM Cup on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notodden vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Notodden 21%, draw 17%, Stabaek 63%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stabaek), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stabaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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