13/04/2025
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-2
2nd Score
0-3
Skjetten vs Lilleström Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
Over
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
33%
4-5
27%
6+
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
29%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Lilleström win — 70% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
5%
17%
Draw
8%
70%
Away Win
88%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Skjetten v Lilleström — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Skjetten
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lilleström
EU Bookmakers 94%
-5% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-4% /
-4%
0.00/3.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.65/1.59
-100%
/
+3%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+17%
/
-45%
32%
Ball Possession
68%
8
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
7
2
Corners
8
223 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
513 · 87%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.0
Yellow Cards
0.5
POST-MATCH
Skjetten vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lilleström swept aside Skjetten 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Skjetten vs Lilleström?
Skjetten 0-5 Lilleström in the Norway - NM Cup on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Skjetten vs Lilleström?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Skjetten 14%, draw 17%, Lilleström 70%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Lilleström)
✓ Over 2.5
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NOK
More Norway - NM Cup
13 Apr 2025