13/04/2025
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-2
2nd Score
0-1
Ullern vs Follo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over
57%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Follo win — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
18%
20%
Draw
20%
63%
Away Win
62%
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
48%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ullern v Follo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ullern
EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY
Follo
EU Bookmakers 67%
-40% /
-40%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-80% /
-80%
0.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/3.00
-100%
/
+3%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-57%
/
-60%
43%
Ball Possession
57%
8
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
6
213 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
278 · 88%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ullern vs Follo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Follo ran out comfortable winners over Ullern 5-2 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Follo as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Ullern vs Follo?
Ullern 2-5 Follo in the Norway - NM Cup on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ullern vs Follo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Follo win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Ullern 17%, draw 20%, Follo 63%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Follo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Follo)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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13 Apr 2025