Western United II 3-1 Melbourne Srbija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 13 Apr 2025

Western United II
3-1
Melbourne Srbija
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
Australia - Victoria NPL 2 – 2025

Western United II vs Melbourne Srbija Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.28
No
40%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.1pp
30%
Draw
20%
+10.0pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
74%
-14.5pp
40%
BTTS No
26%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western United II v Melbourne Srbija — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Srbija EU Bookmakers 30%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.52/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.50
+26% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
327 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Western United II vs Melbourne Srbija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United II beat Melbourne Srbija 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Western United II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Western United II vs Melbourne Srbija?

Western United II 3-1 Melbourne Srbija in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United II vs Melbourne Srbija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western United II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Western United II 45%, draw 30%, Melbourne Srbija 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western United II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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