Unirea Slobozia 2-1 UTA Arad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.32
6+ Goals
8%
22.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.51 — our 35% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.9pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unirea Slobozia EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 40%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.16/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.89
-56% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
25.5 Crosses 21.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unirea Slobozia
1W-0D-1L
AWAY UTA Arad
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.26 xG 2.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
257 Passes 312
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 3-4 HT 1-1 Unirea Slobozia Unirea Slobozia ROM
05.08.2024 Unirea Slobozia Unirea Slobozia 0-1 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unirea Slobozia
2-1
AWAY UTA Arad
1.58 xG 1.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
254 Passes 235
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Unirea Slobozia vs UTA Arad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unirea Slobozia edged past UTA Arad 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Unirea Slobozia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Unirea Slobozia had 52% of the ball to UTA Arad's 48%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.58 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Unirea Slobozia and 2.00 for UTA Arad.

What was the final score of Unirea Slobozia vs UTA Arad?

Unirea Slobozia 2-1 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unirea Slobozia vs UTA Arad?

Before kick-off our model rated an UTA Arad win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Unirea Slobozia 36%, draw 26%, UTA Arad 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UTA Arad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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