Etimesgut Spor 2-5 İnegöl Kafkas GK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.0pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.8pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-0.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etimesgut Spor EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY İnegöl Kafkas GK EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.64/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.18
+31% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
222 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etimesgut Spor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY İnegöl Kafkas GK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
3 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 8
01.12.2024 İnegöl Kafkas GK İnegöl Kafkas GK 3-1 HT 1-1 Etimesgut Spor Etimesgut Spor S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etimesgut Spor
2-5
AWAY İnegöl Kafkas GK
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 0
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Etimesgut Spor vs İnegöl Kafkas GK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İnegöl Kafkas GK ran out comfortable winners over Etimesgut Spor 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Etimesgut Spor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Etimesgut Spor had 52% of the ball to İnegöl Kafkas GK's 48%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Etimesgut Spor vs İnegöl Kafkas GK?

Etimesgut Spor 2-5 İnegöl Kafkas GK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etimesgut Spor vs İnegöl Kafkas GK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etimesgut Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Etimesgut Spor 42%, draw 34%, İnegöl Kafkas GK 24%. The final score 2-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Etimesgut Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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