EM Mahdia 4-1 ES Rades — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-14.2pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.9pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Rades EU Bookmakers 19%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
2.31/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.12/0.99
+50% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / +37%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
POST-MATCH EM Mahdia vs ES Rades
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EM Mahdia swept aside ES Rades 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had EM Mahdia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of EM Mahdia vs ES Rades?

EM Mahdia 4-1 ES Rades in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EM Mahdia vs ES Rades?

Before kick-off our model rated a EM Mahdia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split EM Mahdia 49%, draw 29%, ES Rades 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EM Mahdia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (EM Mahdia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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