Aguila 1-0 Zacatecoluca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 13 Apr 2026

📅13/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.32
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.95
No
61%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
71%
-2.9pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.4pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.9pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Zacatecoluca EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.08/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.30
+15% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +40%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Zacatecoluca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
16.02.2026 Zacatecoluca 0-2 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
26.10.2025 Zacatecoluca 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
24.08.2025 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 0-0 Zacatecoluca ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Zacatecoluca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila nicked a narrow win over Zacatecoluca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aguila and 0.33 for Zacatecoluca.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Zacatecoluca?

Aguila 1-0 Zacatecoluca in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Zacatecoluca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Aguila 68%, draw 17%, Zacatecoluca 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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