Ogre United 1-1 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 13 Apr 2026

Ogre United
1-1 HT 0-1
Grobina
📅13/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2026

Ogre United vs Grobina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ogre United v Grobina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ogre United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 50%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.45/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.61
-15% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +51%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.0 Crosses 17.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Ogre United 1-1 Grobina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ogre United
1-1
AWAY Grobina
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Ogre United vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ogre United and Grobina shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Grobina at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ogre United had 46% of the ball to Grobina's 54%, shots finished 13-16.

What was the final score of Ogre United vs Grobina?

Ogre United 1-1 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ogre United vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 30%, draw 28%, Grobina 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Grobina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grobina) ✓ Under 2.5
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