Sigma Olomouc II 3-1 Sparta Prag II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
28%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-7.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.4pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag II EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.33/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.74
-15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc II
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Sparta Prag II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 0-2 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc II Sigma Olomouc II ÇEK2
28.05.2023 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 0-2 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc II Sigma Olomouc II ÇEK2
31.07.2022 Sigma Olomouc II Sigma Olomouc II 1-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc II
3-1
AWAY Sparta Prag II
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc II vs Sparta Prag II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sigma Olomouc II got the better of Sparta Prag II 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sigma Olomouc II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc II had 40% of the ball to Sparta Prag II's 60%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sigma Olomouc II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sigma Olomouc II and 0.00 for Sparta Prag II.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc II vs Sparta Prag II?

Sigma Olomouc II 3-1 Sparta Prag II in the Czech Republic - FNL on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc II vs Sparta Prag II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sigma Olomouc II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc II 44%, draw 28%, Sparta Prag II 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sigma Olomouc II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sigma Olomouc II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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