Jönköpings Södra 1-2 Tvaaker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 13 May 2024

Jönköpings Södra
1-2 HT 0-1
Tvaaker
📅13/05/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - 1st Division – 2024

Jönköpings Södra vs Tvaaker Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-9.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jönköpings Södra v Tvaaker — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jönköpings Södra EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tvaaker EU Bookmakers 33%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.09
-38% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Jönköpings Södra 1-2 Tvaaker — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jönköpings Södra
1-2
AWAY Tvaaker
58% Ball Possession 42%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jönköpings Södra vs Tvaaker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tvaaker squeezed past Jönköpings Södra 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Tvaaker found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jönköpings Södra had 58% of the ball to Tvaaker's 42%, shots finished 4-12.

What was the final score of Jönköpings Södra vs Tvaaker?

Jönköpings Södra 1-2 Tvaaker in the Sweden - 1st Division on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jönköpings Södra vs Tvaaker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tvaaker win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jönköpings Södra 36%, draw 27%, Tvaaker 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tvaaker) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tvaaker) ✗ Under 2.5
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