Göteborg 0-3 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 13 May 2024

Göteborg
0-3 HT 0-2
Malmö FF
📅13/05/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Göteborg vs Malmö FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.29
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 25% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Göteborg v Malmö FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -24%
1.36/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.07
+9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.4
21.0 Crosses 23.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Göteborg vs Malmö FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Malmö FF
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.87 xG 1.90
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
208 Passes 484
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-2 HT 0-2 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
17.04.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
17.10.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 2-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
25.04.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-0 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
07.11.2021 Göteborg Göteborg 0-2 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
14.08.2021 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-3 HT 1-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ

Göteborg 0-3 Malmö FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
0-3
AWAY Malmö FF
0.65 xG 1.91
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
353 Passes 468
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF cruised past Göteborg 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Göteborg had 44% of the ball to Malmö FF's 56%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.65 to 1.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Göteborg and 1.50 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs Malmö FF?

Göteborg 0-3 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 22%, draw 28%, Malmö FF 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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