Barcelona 2-0 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 13 May 2024

Barcelona
2-0 HT 1-0
Real Sociedad
📅13/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Barcelona vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 25% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.2
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
14%
4.11
X/2
10%
9.52
X/X
14%
5.27
2/1
9%
22.7
2/2
13%
7.07
2/X
5%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barcelona v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 24%
+10% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +11%
2.06/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.32
+28% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
16.5 Crosses 14.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1

Barcelona vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Sociedad
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.89 xG 1.15
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
467 Passes 293
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
20.05.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
25.01.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İSPK
21.08.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-4 HT 1-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
21.04.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
15.08.2021 Barcelona Barcelona 4-2 HT 2-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1

Barcelona 2-0 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona
2-0
AWAY Real Sociedad
2.15 xG 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
514 Passes 385
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barcelona vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona got the better of Real Sociedad 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Barcelona had 57% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 43%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.15 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Barcelona and 0.83 for Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Barcelona vs Real Sociedad?

Barcelona 2-0 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 46%, draw 26%, Real Sociedad 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✗ Over 2.5
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