Deportes Iquique 2-1 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.54/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.32
+31% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
22.6 Crosses 15.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Iquique
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Nublense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
553 Passes 250
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
02.11.2014 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-1 HT 0-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
30.03.2014 Nublense Nublense 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
03.11.2013 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 4-1 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Iquique
2-1
AWAY Nublense
2.68 xG 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
251 Passes 276
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportes Iquique vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Iquique squeezed past Nublense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportes Iquique as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Deportes Iquique had 49% of the ball to Nublense's 51%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.68 to 1.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Deportes Iquique's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportes Iquique and 1.67 for Nublense.

What was the final score of Deportes Iquique vs Nublense?

Deportes Iquique 2-1 Nublense in the Chile - Premier League on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Iquique vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Iquique win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportes Iquique 41%, draw 29%, Nublense 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Iquique) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Iquique) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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