Almagro 0-1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 May 2024

Almagro
0-1 HT 0-0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
📅13/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Almagro vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.0pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.0pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almagro v Estudiantes Rio Cuarto — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
0.80/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.75
-22% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Almagro vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
02.07.2023 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
25.02.2023 Almagro Almagro 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
21.08.2022 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almagro vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto edged past Almagro 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Estudiantes Rio Cuarto found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Almagro and 0.67 for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Almagro 0-1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almagro win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Almagro 36%, draw 28%, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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