GOSK Gabela 1-4 Zrinjski Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
58%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
5%
X/2
29%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.6pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.6pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-8.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GOSK Gabela EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 70%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
0.98/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.49
+17% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +70%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
192 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GOSK Gabela
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
26.11.2023 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 1-5 HT 0-2 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
20.08.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 3-1 HT 2-1 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GOSK Gabela
1-4
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GOSK Gabela vs Zrinjski Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinjski Mostar ran out comfortable winners over GOSK Gabela 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zrinjski Mostar as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, GOSK Gabela had 32% of the ball to Zrinjski Mostar's 68%, shots finished 7-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for GOSK Gabela and 4.00 for Zrinjski Mostar.

What was the final score of GOSK Gabela vs Zrinjski Mostar?

GOSK Gabela 1-4 Zrinjski Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GOSK Gabela vs Zrinjski Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split GOSK Gabela 20%, draw 22%, Zrinjski Mostar 58%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →