Vancouver FC 1-1 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 13 May 2024

Vancouver FC
1-1 HT 0-0
Atletico Ottawa
📅13/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.99
6+ Goals
12%
18.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.99 — our 28% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.3pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vancouver FC v Atletico Ottawa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.98/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.29
-11% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
11.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
9.5 Crosses 11.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.57 xG 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
324 Passes 314
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.09.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
16.07.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
17.06.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
14.05.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-5 HT 0-2 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL

Vancouver FC 1-1 Atletico Ottawa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
1-1
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
0.31 xG 2.61
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
328 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver FC and Atletico Ottawa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Ottawa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vancouver FC had 53% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 47%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.31 to 2.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Vancouver FC and 2.50 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa?

Vancouver FC 1-1 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 29%, draw 30%, Atletico Ottawa 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →