Barcelona SC 1-1 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 13 May 2024

Barcelona SC
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Aucas
📅13/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.86
Over
51%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.84
No
48%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Barcelona SC The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas The Market 25%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.93 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.15
1.01 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.65
Strong Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Average
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aucas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.58 xG 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
283 Passes 228
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.10.2023 Aucas Aucas 3-2 HT 1-2 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
08.05.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 5-1 HT 2-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
14.11.2022 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
07.11.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
17.10.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-2 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
23.05.2022 Aucas Aucas 2-1 HT 2-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
1 - 1
AWAY Aucas
0.99 xG 1.11
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 0
437 Passes 206
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Barcelona SC vs Aucas
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Barcelona SC and Aucas with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Barcelona SC at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 52%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.84, roughly 54%.

On the day, Barcelona SC had 64% of the ball to Aucas's 36%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.99 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barcelona SC and 1.50 for Aucas.

Barcelona SC vs Aucas Result & Final Score

Barcelona SC 1 - 1 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Barcelona SC vs Aucas Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 57%, draw 23%, Aucas 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barcelona SC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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