Hegelmann II 2-0 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 13 May 2024

Hegelmann II
2-0 HT 1-0
BFA
📅13/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Hegelmann II vs BFA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.7pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hegelmann II v BFA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hegelmann II 2-0 BFA — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann II
2-0
AWAY BFA
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann II saw off BFA 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was BFA at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Hegelmann II had 49% of the ball to BFA's 51%, shots finished 7-17.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs BFA?

Hegelmann II 2-0 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 28%, draw 22%, BFA 50%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (BFA), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →