Leones Negros Udeg 1-2 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.1pp
35%
Draw
31%
+4.6pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.2pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.24/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.92
-10% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Atlante
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
09.05.2024 Atlante Atlante 2-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
22.01.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
26.11.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
23.11.2023 Atlante Atlante 3-1 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
25.07.2023 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
26.03.2023 Atlante Atlante 0-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Atlante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante nicked a narrow win over Leones Negros Udeg 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 35% / 30% — and on the day Atlante made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.17 for Atlante.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Atlante?

Leones Negros Udeg 1-2 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 35%, draw 35%, Atlante 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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