Sarpsborg 08 II vs Baerum Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarpsborg 08 II v Baerum — Team-Based Signals
Sarpsborg 08 II 2-0 Baerum — Actual Match Statistics
Sarpsborg 08 II beat Baerum 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Baerum at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sarpsborg 08 II had 51% of the ball to Baerum's 49%, shots finished 13-11.
What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 II vs Baerum?
Sarpsborg 08 II 2-0 Baerum in the Norway - 3rd Division on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 II vs Baerum?
Before kick-off our model rated an Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 II 23%, draw 24%, Baerum 54%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.