Lamphun Warrior 1-2 Uthai Thani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
13%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.5pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Uthai Thani EU Bookmakers 29%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.22/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/2.40
-6% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +124% / -49%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.0 Crosses 10.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamphun Warrior
1-2
AWAY Uthai Thani
0.44 xG 0.87
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
302 Passes 448
87% Pass Accuracy 90%
15 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai Thani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uthai Thani squeezed past Lamphun Warrior 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lamphun Warrior at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lamphun Warrior had 41% of the ball to Uthai Thani's 59%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.44 to 0.87.

What was the final score of Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai Thani?

Lamphun Warrior 1-2 Uthai Thani in the Thailand - 1st Division on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai Thani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lamphun Warrior win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lamphun Warrior 42%, draw 26%, Uthai Thani 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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