UMF Selfoss vs Thor Akureyri Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UMF Selfoss v Thor Akureyri — Team-Based Signals
UMF Selfoss vs Thor Akureyri Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Thor Akureyri
İZL1
2-1
HT 1-0
UMF Selfoss
İZL1
2-1
HT 1-1
Thor Akureyri
İZL1
0-2
HT 0-1
UMF Selfoss
İZL1
1-2
HT 1-2
UMF Selfoss
İZL1
1-1
HT 0-1
Thor Akureyri
İZL1
Thor Akureyri swept aside UMF Selfoss 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Thor Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UMF Selfoss had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for UMF Selfoss and 1.17 for Thor Akureyri.
What was the final score of UMF Selfoss vs Thor Akureyri?
UMF Selfoss 1-4 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UMF Selfoss vs Thor Akureyri?
Before kick-off our model rated an Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split UMF Selfoss 29%, draw 17%, Thor Akureyri 54%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thor Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.