Central Norte 1-2 San Telmo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-9.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
22%
+11.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Norte EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY San Telmo EU Bookmakers 26%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.42
+56% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
151 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 139 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Central Norte vs San Telmo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Telmo squeezed past Central Norte 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day San Telmo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Central Norte vs San Telmo?

Central Norte 1-2 San Telmo in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Norte vs San Telmo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Norte win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Central Norte 38%, draw 28%, San Telmo 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Central Norte) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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