El Nacional 2-1 Cuniburo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Nacional EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.9 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Nacional
2-1
AWAY Cuniburo FC
0.83 xG 1.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
256 Passes 271
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Nacional vs Cuniburo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Nacional squeezed past Cuniburo FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 35% — and on the day El Nacional made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Nacional had 48% of the ball to Cuniburo FC's 52%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.83 to 1.44 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cuniburo FC.

What was the final score of El Nacional vs Cuniburo FC?

El Nacional 2-1 Cuniburo FC in the Ecuador - Premier on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Cuniburo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 40%, draw 26%, Cuniburo FC 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (El Nacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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