KaPa 1-1 MyPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 13 May 2026

KaPa
1-1 HT 0-1
MyPa
📅13/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-11.7pp
17%
Draw
15%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.3pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY MyPa EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
0W-0D-2L
AWAY MyPa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2021 MyPa MyPa 2-1 HT 1-0 KaPa KaPa FİNKAK
07.08.2021 KaPa KaPa 2-3 HT 1-2 MyPa MyPa FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
1-1
AWAY MyPa
74% Ball Possession 26%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KaPa vs MyPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa and MyPa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had KaPa at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, KaPa had 74% of the ball to MyPa's 26%, shots finished 21-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, MyPa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KaPa and 2.50 for MyPa.

What was the final score of KaPa vs MyPa?

KaPa 1-1 MyPa in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs MyPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a KaPa win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split KaPa 62%, draw 17%, MyPa 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KaPa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KaPa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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