Gainare Tottori 3-2 MIO Biwako Shiga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 13 May 2026

📅13/05/2026 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.33
2-3 Goals
36%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.55
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.33 — our 39% vs market 34.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY MIO Biwako Shiga EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.51/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-56% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
286 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.1 Crosses 16.0
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
1W-0D-0L
AWAY MIO Biwako Shiga
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
244 Passes 364
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.04.2026 MIO Biwako Shiga MIO Biwako Shiga 1-3 HT 1-2 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP2-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
3-2
AWAY MIO Biwako Shiga
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
313 Passes 158
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs MIO Biwako Shiga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori nicked a narrow win over MIO Biwako Shiga 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gainare Tottori found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 59% of the ball to MIO Biwako Shiga's 41%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs MIO Biwako Shiga?

Gainare Tottori 3-2 MIO Biwako Shiga in the JAP2-3 on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs MIO Biwako Shiga?

Before kick-off our model rated an MIO Biwako Shiga win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 36%, draw 26%, MIO Biwako Shiga 38%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (MIO Biwako Shiga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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