Forge 1-0 Supra du Québec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 13 May 2026

Forge
1-0 HT 0-0
Supra du Québec
📅13/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2026

Forge vs Supra du Québec Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-2.6pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forge v Supra du Québec — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Supra du Québec EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +78% / +78%
2.05/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/2.22
+7% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
14.6 Crosses 11.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Forge 1-0 Supra du Québec — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
1-0
AWAY Supra du Québec
0.99 xG 0.66
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
318 Passes 427
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
33 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Forge vs Supra du Québec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge squeezed past Supra du Québec 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Forge had 48% of the ball to Supra du Québec's 52%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.99 to 0.66.

What was the final score of Forge vs Supra du Québec?

Forge 1-0 Supra du Québec in the Kanada - Premier League on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs Supra du Québec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Forge 60%, draw 22%, Supra du Québec 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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