Vikingur R. 3-1 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 13 Jun 2024

📅13/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
74%
-14.7pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.6pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
3.49/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/2.20
+6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +51%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
454 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Fylkir
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.42 xG 0.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
442 Passes 322
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 5-2 HT 2-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
29.06.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 1-3 HT 1-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
16.04.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-0 HT 2-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
15.09.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 0-1 HT 0-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZK
16.08.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 0-3 HT 0-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
25.05.2021 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-2 HT 0-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
3-1
AWAY Fylkir
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. beat Fylkir 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 49% of the ball to Fylkir's 51%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Vikingur R. and 0.83 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Fylkir?

Vikingur R. 3-1 Fylkir in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 13/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 59%, draw 19%, Fylkir 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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