Throttur Reykjavik 1-2 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 13 Jun 2024

📅13/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
33%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.14
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
33%
+5.7pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.2pp
33%
Away Win
45%
-12.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.0pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
2.40/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.58
+41% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Throttur Reykjavik
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Afturelding
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 2-1 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
12.07.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 1-0 HT 0-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
28.08.2021 Afturelding Afturelding 3-1 HT 1-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
26.06.2021 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-3 HT 0-2 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
16.09.2020 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-2 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
POST-MATCH Throttur Reykjavik vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding squeezed past Throttur Reykjavik 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Afturelding found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Afturelding led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Throttur Reykjavik and 2.00 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of Throttur Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

Throttur Reykjavik 1-2 Afturelding in the Iceland - 1st Division on 13/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Throttur Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Throttur Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Throttur Reykjavik 39%, draw 29%, Afturelding 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Throttur Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Throttur Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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