Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-2 Bahardar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 13 Jun 2024

📅13/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahardar EU Bookmakers 31%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +59% / +59%
0.51/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-58% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2-2
AWAY Bahardar
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Bahardar shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Ethiopia Nigd Bank at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had 60% of the ball to Bahardar's 40%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-2 Bahardar in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 13/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Bahardar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Nigd Bank 44%, draw 30%, Bahardar 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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