Pyramids 3-0 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 13 Jun 2024

📅13/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 33% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-14.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pyramids EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.43/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.37
+14% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -24%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.3 Crosses 10.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pyramids
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Smouha
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.08
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
485 Passes 196
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.06.2023 Pyramids Pyramids 5-2 HT 2-2 Smouha Smouha MSR
24.01.2023 Smouha Smouha 1-2 HT 1-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
19.08.2022 Pyramids Pyramids 5-1 HT 1-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
06.05.2022 Smouha Smouha 0-2 HT 0-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
24.09.2021 Smouha Smouha 1-3 HT 0-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSRK
15.06.2021 Pyramids Pyramids 0-3 HT 0-2 Smouha Smouha MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pyramids
3-0
AWAY Smouha
1.93 xG 1.41
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
440 Passes 257
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
37 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pyramids vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pyramids swept aside Smouha 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pyramids as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Pyramids had 59% of the ball to Smouha's 41%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.93 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pyramids had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Pyramids and 1.33 for Smouha.

What was the final score of Pyramids vs Smouha?

Pyramids 3-0 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 13/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pyramids vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pyramids win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pyramids 46%, draw 28%, Smouha 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pyramids), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pyramids) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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